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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
40.05% ( -0.17) | 23.51% ( -0.01) | 36.44% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.07) | 38.5% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.21% ( 0.08) | 60.79% ( -0.08) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( -0.05) | 19.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.47% ( -0.08) | 51.53% ( 0.08) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( 0.13) | 21.32% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.73% ( 0.2) | 54.26% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.44% |
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