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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Weserstadion
UB

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Pieper (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Haberer (18'), Behrens (46')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 7-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin

Werder Bremen looked wide open defensively against Koln during their 7-1 defeat on Saturday, with only VfL Bochum and Schalke 04 possessing inferior goals against tallies than them so far this season. While Werner will have worked studiously on the training round in an attempt to tighten things up, these things rarely happen overnight, and we can envisage Union Berlin causing plenty of problems in transition on Wednesday to record successive victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Union Berlin in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
30.35% (-0.746 -0.75) 25.08% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 44.57% (0.70800000000001 0.71)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-0.489 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.471 -0.47)47.65% (0.465 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.435 -0.43)69.85% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)29.27% (0.736 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.916 -0.92)65.23% (0.911 0.91)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.124 0.12)21.4% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (0.193 0.19)54.39% (-0.198 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 30.35%
    Union Berlin 44.57%
    Draw 25.08%
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.35%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.223 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.45% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.117 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Koln 7-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 6-1 Werder Bremen
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Schalke
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, October 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 4-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 13 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Augsburg
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union SG 0-1 Union Berlin
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, October 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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