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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
W

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Wolfsburg

Fullkrug (24' pen., 77')
Stark (39'), Friedl (90+2'), Weiser (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Paredes (90')
Kovac (86'), Baku (66'), Paredes (90+6'), van de Ven (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-5 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Wolfsburg

Both side possess plenty of firepower within their ranks, so it should be an entertaining encounter at Weserstadion on Saturday. However, the two teams' form could hardly be more contrasting in recent matches, and we expect Wolfsburg to have a little more bite to continue their phenomenal winning streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawWolfsburg
29.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.21% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 47.11% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.72% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57% (-0.161 -0.16)39.43% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.23% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)61.77% (0.171 0.17)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)25.6% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.11 -0.11)60.48% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)17.04% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8% (-0.13 -0.13)47.2% (0.132 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 29.68%
    Wolfsburg 47.11%
    Draw 23.2%
Werder BremenDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 5.95% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.68%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.83% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 47.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 7-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 6-1 Werder Bremen
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Schalke
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, October 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-5 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 17 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-3 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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