SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
29.68% ( -0) | 23.21% ( 0.03) | 47.11% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.72% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.57% ( -0.16) | 39.43% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.23% ( -0.17) | 61.77% ( 0.17) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.08) | 25.6% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( -0.11) | 60.48% ( 0.11) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( -0.07) | 17.04% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( -0.13) | 47.2% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.68% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.14% Total : 47.11% |
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