Union took four points off Wolfsburg last season and knocked them out of the DFB-Pokal, but there is a different look about both sides this season, and it could be a close encounter.
Wolfsburg will hope to have Wimmer and Wind available, as they are two players that could play a pivotal role in deciding the outcome of this game, otherwise Union may have the slight edge.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.14) 
0.18) 
