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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Camp Nou
BL

Barcelona
0 - 3
Bayern


Busquets (41')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mane (10'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (31'), Pavard (90+5')
Mazraoui (16'), Goretzka (23'), Upamecano (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Barcelona 2-2 Bayern Munich

We are expecting Inter to beat Plzen in the earlier match, which would see Barcelona confirmed in third position in the group. If that is the case, Bayern would need to triumph here to be confirmed as section winners, but we have a feeling that an entertaining contest will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
BarcelonaDrawBayern Munich
42.86% (-0.166 -0.17) 22.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 34.21% (0.169 0.17)
Both teams to score 64.97% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.92% (0.058 0.06)36.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.81% (0.064 0.06)58.19% (-0.061 -0.06)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)17.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)47.81% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.113 0.11)21.36% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (0.17599999999999 0.18)54.33% (-0.174 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 42.86%
    Bayern Munich 34.21%
    Draw 22.93%
BarcelonaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 42.86%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 6.77% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.74% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 34.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Villarreal
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Barcelona
Sunday, October 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Barcelona
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-5 Bayern
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Plzen 2-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Plzen
Tuesday, October 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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