SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Mainz 05 |
37.24% ( 0.11) | 22.91% ( -0.03) | 39.85% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 65.67% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.59% ( 0.17) | 35.41% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.55% ( 0.19) | 57.45% ( -0.18) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 0.13) | 19.55% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% ( 0.2) | 51.46% ( -0.2) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% ( 0.04) | 18.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.5% ( 0.07) | 49.5% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 39.85% |
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