With Wolfsburg enduring a tough season so far, and setbacks in the last two matches following a brief glimmer of hope, we can see Union frustrating them and restricting them to very little on Saturday.
The hosts struggle in front of goal and the visitors are a well-organised outfit, so it is difficult to see many goals being scored, and therefore we are going for a low-scoring draw, with Union's relative struggles on the road restricting their chances of coming away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolfsburg in this match.
