SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Slovan Bratislava win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
62.3% ( -1.89) | 20.34% ( 0.54) | 17.36% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( 0.06) | 40.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.6% ( 0.06) | 62.4% ( -0.06) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.68% ( -0.51) | 12.32% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.89% ( -1.08) | 38.11% ( 1.08) |
| Slovan Bratislava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( 1.67) | 36.44% ( -1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.77% ( 1.64) | 73.23% ( -1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.42)1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.44)4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.73% Total : 62.3% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.45% Total : 17.36% |
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