SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 75.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 8.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.7%) and 3-0 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
75.42% ( 0.41) | 16.37% ( -0.16) | 8.22% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 40.81% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.15% ( -0.12) | 44.85% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.79% ( -0.11) | 67.21% ( 0.11) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.81% ( 0.07) | 10.2% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.53% ( 0.17) | 33.47% ( -0.17) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.44% ( -0.66) | 54.56% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.38% ( -0.4) | 87.62% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 2-0 @ 14.5% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 75.41% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.45% Total : 16.37% | 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.5% Total : 8.22% |
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