SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 10.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
71.78% ( -0.8) | 17.57% ( 0.54) | 10.65% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.61% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.39% ( -1.73) | 42.61% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.99% ( -1.74) | 65.01% ( 1.75) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.47% ( -0.66) | 10.53% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.77% ( -1.5) | 34.22% ( 1.5) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.09% ( -0.64) | 47.91% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.84% ( -0.47) | 83.16% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.55)3-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.16)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.04% Total : 71.77% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.57% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.5% Total : 10.65% |
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