With both clubs having shown some form either side of the international break, this has the potential to be a hard-fought contest. While Stoke have the freedom to push for all three points, we are backing Reading to earn a deserved share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Stoke City
28.55%	26.31%	45.13%

Both teams to score 50.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.42%

53.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.91%

75.09%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37%

33.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.72%

70.28%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34%

23.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24%

57.76%

Score Analysis

Reading 28.55%

Stoke City 45.13%

Draw 26.3%

Reading	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.55%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.13%