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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 24.89% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Derby County |
51.84% ( 1.01) | 23.27% ( -0.11) | 24.89% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( -0.33) | 43.4% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.2% ( -0.32) | 65.79% ( 0.32) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0.25) | 16.78% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.26% ( 0.45) | 46.74% ( -0.45) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( -0.89) | 31.11% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( -1.06) | 67.44% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Derby County |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.84% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.82% Total : 24.89% |
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