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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
City Ground
QL

Nott'm Forest
3 - 1
QPR

Spence (55'), Yates (83'), Johnson (87')
Yates (62'), Davis (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gray (40')
Dozzell (36'), Dunne (43'), Field (54'), Wallace (60'), Odubajo (80')

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

On the back of their excellent win at Luton, QPR head into this game with plenty of confidence. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Forest's general dominance at the City Ground, leading to a prediction of a narrow victory for the East Midlands giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawQueens Park Rangers
48.86%26.6%24.54%
Both teams to score 46.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88%57.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01%77.99%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55%23.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55%57.45%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09%38.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36%75.64%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 48.86%
    Queens Park Rangers 24.54%
    Draw 26.6%
Nottingham ForestDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 13.23%
2-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.61%
1-2 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 24.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 4-0 Reading
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Huddersfield
Monday, March 7 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Friday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, February 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Stoke
Saturday, February 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 QPR
Sunday, March 13 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 QPR
Saturday, February 26 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Blackpool
Wednesday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 QPR
Tuesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship


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