SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Stoke City |
58.69% ( -0.06) | 22.72% ( 0.03) | 18.6% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( -0.07) | 48.49% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.06) | 70.61% ( 0.06) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( -0.05) | 16.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% ( -0.08) | 45.68% ( 0.08) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.97% ( -0.01) | 40.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.32% ( -0.01) | 76.68% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.6% |
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