Given that Fleetwood have already beaten two sides from higher divisions in the EFL Cup this season, it would not be surprising if they were to do so again on Tuesday. Additionally, if Stoke field a similarly youthful XI to the one that beat Middlesbrough, the visitors could look to take advantage of their hosts' inexperience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%).

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
50.38% ( -1.29)	23.47% ( 0.16)	26.14% ( 1.13)

Both teams to score 57.9% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.79% (

0.26)

43.21% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.39% (

0.26)

65.61% (

-0.26)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75% (

-0.38)

17.25% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.44% (

-0.67)

47.56% (

0.67)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

1.03)

30.03% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

1.22)

66.15% (

-1.22)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 50.38%

Fleetwood Town 26.14%

Draw 23.47%

Stoke City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.38%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.47%	1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.14%