SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
18.8% ( 0.39) | 23.51% ( 0.39) | 57.69% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.61% ( -0.99) | 51.39% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.79% ( -0.87) | 73.21% ( 0.87) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.5% ( -0.13) | 41.49% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22% ( -0.11) | 77.99% ( 0.12) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.42% ( -0.63) | 17.58% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.86% ( -1.11) | 48.14% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.8% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.51% | 0-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 11.02% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.56% Total : 57.69% |
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