SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 76.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-0 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Shanghai Port |
8.39% ( -0.18) | 15.58% ( 0.03) | 76.02% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.31% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.4% ( -0.8) | 40.6% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.01% ( -0.82) | 62.98% ( 0.82) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.68% ( -0.95) | 51.32% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.44% ( -0.64) | 85.55% ( 0.64) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.02% ( -0.16) | 8.98% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.38% ( -0.39) | 30.61% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 8.39% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.59% Total : 15.58% | 0-2 @ 13.38% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.32)0-3 @ 10.75% ( 0.15)1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.18% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 6.48% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 3.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)0-6 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 76.01% |
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