SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan | Draw | Guangzhou City |
35.95% ( -0.03) | 27.69% ( -0.03) | 36.36% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.93% ( 0.1) | 57.07% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.05% ( 0.08) | 77.95% ( -0.08) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( 0.03) | 30.31% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.52% ( 0.03) | 66.49% ( -0.04) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( 0.08) | 30.05% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.82% ( 0.1) | 66.18% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan | Draw | Guangzhou City |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.35% |
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