Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12

Aug 11, 2022 at 1pm UK

Pennant Hills Park

Hebei
3 - 4
Tianjin Jinmen

Zhang (30'), Yao (57'), Zhao (81')
Zhang (43'), Gao (72'), Ximing (90+3'), Haifeng (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Xie (21', 50'), Merida (54'), Dun (82')
Beric (90+3')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Hebei and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.

Result
Hebei	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19.01% ( 0.4)	24.02% ( -0.06)	56.97% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 47.12% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.95% (

0.77)

53.05% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37% (

0.65)

74.64% (

-0.64)

Hebei Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.78% (

0.91)

42.22% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.38% (

0.78)

78.62% (

-0.77)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55% (

0.16)

18.46% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.36% (

0.27)

49.64% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Hebei 19.01%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 56.96%

Draw 24.01%

Hebei	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.01%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 11.12% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 56.96%