SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
27.98% ( -1.8) | 22.76% ( 0.15) | 49.26% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 62.07% ( -1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% ( -1.91) | 38.43% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( -2.06) | 60.72% ( 2.06) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( -2.13) | 26.22% ( 2.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( -2.94) | 61.31% ( 2.95) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( -0.12) | 15.88% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.9% ( -0.23) | 45.1% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.98% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.65)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.57)1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 49.26% |
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