Five of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we can see another draw here. Athletic are on an impressive winning run, but Valencia's form has also been excellent, and we are finding it difficult to separate the teams in what could be an entertaining clash.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
0.29) 
-0.42) 
