SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 24 | 32 | 50 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 24 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Boston River | 23 | 7 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 20 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | Atletico Goianiense | 20 | -13 | 17 |
| 20 | Juventude | 20 | -17 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
48.88% ( -0.09) | 23.91% ( 0.05) | 27.21% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.18) | 44.35% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.17) | 66.73% ( 0.17) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( -0.1) | 18.26% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.69% ( -0.17) | 49.31% ( 0.17) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( -0.06) | 29.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( -0.08) | 65.9% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.21% |
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