When Flamengo are ahead, they look nearly unbeatable, whereas Corinthians struggle mightily when trailing, and when you combine that with how well Mengao have been at home and how poor Corinthians are on the road, it is hard to envision Timao advancing into the next stage of this tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Corinthians
61.85% ( 0)	23.52% ( -0)	14.63% ( 0)

Both teams to score 40.37% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.46% (

0.02)

57.53% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

0.01)

78.32% (

-0.01)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.67% (

0.01)

18.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.57% (

0.01)

49.42% (

-0.01)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.42% (

0.01)

50.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.95% (

0.01)

85.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 61.84%

Corinthians 14.63%

Draw 23.52%

Flamengo	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 15.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.34% 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.77% Total : 61.84%	1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 2.5% Total : 14.63%