Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.08) 
