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Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
AP

Flamengo
0 - 0
Athletico PR


Barbosa (41'), Maia (87'), De Arrascaeta (90+1'), Pereira (90+6')
Luiz (90+7')
FT

Bento (23'), Erick (38'), Fernandinho (41'), Cittadini (86'), Felipe (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 14.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
65.06% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 20.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 14.48% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.63% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (0.246 0.25)46.11% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (0.232 0.23)68.41% (-0.235 -0.23)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (0.052999999999997 0.05)13.39% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (0.108 0.11)40.31% (-0.11 -0.11)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.15% (0.279 0.28)43.85% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20% (0.228 0.23)80% (-0.23 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 65.04%
    Athletico Paranaense 14.48%
    Draw 20.46%
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 11.86% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 65.04%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.46%
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 14.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, July 24 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Flamengo
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 7-1 Tolima
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 24 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 4-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, July 20 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, July 16 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bahia
Wednesday, July 13 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Goias 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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