Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Palmeiras had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Palmeiras win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
