Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.82%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
