SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Colo-Colo |
59.87% ( -0.01) | 21.27% ( 0) | 18.85% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.18% ( -0.02) | 41.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.78% ( -0.01) | 64.22% ( 0.01) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( -0.01) | 13.58% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.3% ( -0.01) | 40.69% ( 0.01) |
| Colo-Colo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0.01) | 35.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.38% ( -0) | 72.62% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Colo-Colo |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 59.87% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 18.85% |
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