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Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
1 - 1
River Plate

Palacios (61')
Saldivia (34'), Wiemberg (69'), Cortes (76'), Falcon (89'), Castellani (90+7')
Falcon (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pezzella (43')
Armani (38'), Borja (73'), Diaz (89')
Diaz (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Junior 1-2 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, August 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: River Plate 4-1 Tucuman
Saturday, September 14 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Colo-Colo 0-1 River Plate

River Plate have not been affected by opposing crowds so far, and we believe their patience and resolute defending will frustrate Colo-Colo. The Chileans will be desperate to have an advantage heading to Argentina, which could create an opening for the visitors to strike and steal a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawRiver Plate
30.48% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 27.05% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 42.47% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.44% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)55.64% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (-0.032 -0.03)76.79% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.73% (0.0020000000000095 0)33.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.88%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)25.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)60.9% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 30.48%
    River Plate 42.47%
    Draw 27.05%
Colo-ColoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 11.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Junior 1-2 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, August 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Junior
Wednesday, August 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-1 Fluminense
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-0 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 4-1 Tucuman
Saturday, September 14 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, September 1 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Newell's OB
Monday, August 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Talleres
Thursday, August 22 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, August 17 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 0-1 River Plate
Thursday, August 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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