SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Colo-Colo |
46.28% ( 0.52) | 25.2% ( 0.05) | 28.52% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 54.1% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( -0.55) | 49.1% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -0.5) | 71.17% ( 0.49) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0) | 21.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( 0) | 54.14% ( -0.01) |
| Colo-Colo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( -0.7) | 31.31% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% ( -0.82) | 67.67% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Colo-Colo |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 46.27% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.52% |
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