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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK
 

9 de Octubre
2 - 3
Guairena

Da Luz (7'), Stephens (75')
Torres (14'), Pinos (85'), Da Luz (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Otazu (52' pen., 62'), Maciel (90+5')
Ayala (37'), Salinas (47'), Santacruz (48'), Gimenez (57'), Villagra (66'), Escobar (81')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between 9 de Octubre and Guairena.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Internacional 5-1 9 de Octubre
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 9 de Octubre win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Guairena had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a 9 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Guairena win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
9 de OctubreDrawGuairena
44.61% (0.0010000000000048 0) 26.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.95% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (0.029999999999994 0.03)53.9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)75.36% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
9 de Octubre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)24.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (0.016999999999996 0.02)58.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Guairena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02)33.5% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (0.024999999999999 0.02)70.13% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    9 de Octubre 44.61%
    Guairena 28.95%
    Draw 26.43%
9 de OctubreDrawGuairena
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.61%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.82%
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: 9 de Octubre 3-2 Medellin
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guairena 1-0 9 de Octubre
Wednesday, April 27 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Medellin 2-1 9 de Octubre
Friday, April 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: 9 de Octubre 2-2 Internacional
Thursday, April 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: 9 de Octubre 2-0 Delfin
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Delfin 1-1 9 de Octubre
Friday, March 11 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guairena 1-1 Internacional
Thursday, May 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guairena 1-0 9 de Octubre
Wednesday, April 27 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 1-1 Guairena
Friday, April 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guairena 3-3 Medellin
Friday, April 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guairena 0-0 Nacional
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Guairena
Thursday, March 10 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana


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