Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 36.29%. A win for Guairena had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Guairena win was 1-0 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
