Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%).
