Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Independiente Medellin in this match.
