Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oriente Petrolero win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Union had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oriente Petrolero win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
