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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense
3 - 0
Oriente

Cristiano (30'), Arias (39'), Zazpe (73' og.)
Xavier (4'), Andre (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mercado (30'), Caire (81')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fluminense and Oriente Petrolero.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawOriente Petrolero
54.01%24.09%21.9%
Both teams to score 51.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.07%49.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.09%71.91%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6%18.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46%49.54%
Oriente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62%37.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84%74.16%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 54.01%
    Oriente Petrolero 21.9%
    Draw 24.08%
FluminenseDrawOriente Petrolero
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-0 @ 9.85%
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.01%
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 21.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Olimpia 2-0 Fluminense (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 3-1 Olimpia
Thursday, March 10 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Millonarios
Wednesday, March 2 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Millonarios 1-2 Fluminense
Wednesday, February 23 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 3-0 Chapecoense
Friday, December 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Fluminense
Sunday, December 5 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Oriente 3-0 Royal Pari
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Royal Pari 2-3 Oriente
Tuesday, March 8 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Oriente 0-0 Vasco
Thursday, February 20 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Oriente
Thursday, February 6 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Oriente 1-1 Aguilas (0-3 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Rionegro 1-1 Oriente
Friday, March 22 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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