SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Patronato |
| 59.52% | 21.84% | 18.64% |
| Both teams to score 53.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% | 44.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% | 67.04% |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% | 14.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.25% | 42.75% |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.25% | 37.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.48% | 74.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Patronato |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 6.37% 4-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 3.06% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.68% Total : 59.51% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.38% 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.4% Total : 18.65% |
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