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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 24, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
BR

Nacional
2 - 0
Boston River

Gigliotti (57'), Fagundez (66')
Fagundez (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (45+1'), Mancebo (86'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 5-0 Cerrito
Thursday, July 21 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Cerro Largo
Wednesday, July 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBoston River
60.47% (0.233 0.23) 24.6% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 14.92% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 38.37% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.37% (0.108 0.11)60.63% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.28% (0.081 0.08)80.71% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (0.13200000000001 0.13)20.03% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.76% (0.214 0.21)52.23% (-0.217 -0.22)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.98% (-0.136 -0.14)52.02% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98% (-0.089 -0.09)86.02% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 60.47%
    Boston River 14.92%
    Draw 24.59%
NacionalDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 16.75%
2-0 @ 13.47% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 60.47%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 14.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 5-0 Cerrito
Thursday, July 21 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, July 17 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, July 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Nacional
Saturday, June 25 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Cerro Largo
Wednesday, July 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Cerrito
Saturday, July 16 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-3 Defensor
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Boston River
Sunday, June 26 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Danubio
Monday, June 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-0 Boston River
Tuesday, June 14 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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