SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 20 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 19 | -14 | 19 |
| 14 | Plaza Colonia | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Nacional | 19 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Boston River | 20 | 7 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Nacional |
26.08% ( -0.02) | 27.21% ( 0.03) | 46.71% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.39% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.74% ( -0.12) | 58.25% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.11% ( -0.09) | 78.89% ( 0.09) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( -0.08) | 38.17% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.06% ( -0.08) | 74.93% ( 0.08) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.06) | 24.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( -0.08) | 59.6% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.08% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.71% |
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