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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
0 - 0
Nacional


Alvarez (41'), Max (51'), Morales (75'), Bentaberry (81')
FT

Marichal (70'), Rodriguez (87')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerrito 0-2 Cerro Largo
Monday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
26.08% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 27.21% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 46.71% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (-0.119 -0.12)58.25% (0.118 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (-0.093 -0.09)78.89% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)38.17% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)74.93% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)24.96% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)59.6% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 26.08%
    Nacional 46.71%
    Draw 27.2%
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 26.08%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.53% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 13.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 9.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerrito 0-2 Cerro Largo
Monday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 25 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-0 Plaza Colonia
Monday, June 20 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, June 12 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-2 Liverpool
Saturday, May 28 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, July 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Nacional
Saturday, June 25 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 River Plate
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 Nacional
Monday, June 13 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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