Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
