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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
P

River Plate
0 - 0
Penarol


Pereira (15'), Montiel (17'), Diaz (59'), Brunelli (64'), Alfonso (69')
FT

Musto (29'), Carrizo (64'), Menosse (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torque 0-0 River Plate
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Cerrito
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawPenarol
33% (-0.517 -0.52) 28.23% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 38.77% (0.539 0.54)
Both teams to score 46.81% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)59.34% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.73% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (-0.36 -0.36)33.4% (0.365 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.397 -0.4)70.03% (0.40300000000001 0.4)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.318 0.32)29.71% (-0.313 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (0.383 0.38)65.77% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 33%
    Penarol 38.76%
    Draw 28.23%
River PlateDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.97% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33%
1-1 @ 13.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.31% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 38.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Racing 0-1 River Plate
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 River Plate
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Cuiaba
Wednesday, May 18 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Rentistas
Friday, May 13 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 River Plate
Saturday, May 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Melgar
Tuesday, May 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Colon
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Boston River
Saturday, May 21 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Cerro Porteno
Tuesday, May 17 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, May 14 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Wanderers
Sunday, May 8 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Olimpia 1-0 Penarol
Thursday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores


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