Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14

May 29, 2022 at 7pm UK

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
0 - 0
Penarol

Pereira (15'), Montiel (17'), Diaz (59'), Brunelli (64'), Alfonso (69')

Musto (29'), Carrizo (64'), Menosse (90')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Penarol
33% ( -0.52)	28.23% ( -0.02)	38.77% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.67% (

-0.01)

59.34% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.27% (

-0)

79.73% (

0.01)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.6% (

-0.36)

33.4% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.97% (

-0.4)

70.03% (

0.4)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

0.32)

29.71% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23% (

0.38)

65.77% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

River Plate 33%

Penarol 38.76%

Draw 28.23%

River Plate	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 33%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.76%