SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 12 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional | 12 | 14 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 12 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional | 12 | 14 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Liverpool |
| 30.72% | 26.31% | 42.96% |
| Both teams to score 51.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% | 52.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% | 74.28% |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% | 31.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% | 67.93% |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% | 24.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% | 58.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.66% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.96% |
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