SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bologna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Bologna |
59.95% ( 0.3) | 21.56% ( -0.09) | 18.49% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( 0.06) | 43.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( 0.06) | 66.07% ( -0.06) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% ( 0.11) | 14.16% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.15% ( 0.22) | 41.85% ( -0.22) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( -0.2) | 37.34% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.88% ( -0.2) | 74.12% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.49% |
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