SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 67.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Bologna |
67.91% ( 0.11) | 19.42% ( -0.13) | 12.67% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% ( 0.63) | 45.58% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.09% ( 0.6) | 67.91% ( -0.6) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( 0.22) | 12.4% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.71% ( 0.46) | 38.29% ( -0.46) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.72% ( 0.43) | 46.28% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.06% ( 0.33) | 81.94% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.07% Total : 67.91% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.42% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.67% |
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