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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
IL

Cremonese
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Okereke (11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martinez (21', 65')
Acerbi (28'), Calhanoglu (38')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Cremonese
Monday, January 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Cremonese 0-3 Inter Milan

With bouncing back from their slip-up at San Siro foremost on their mind, Inter can make another fast start and take a stranglehold on a game it would be simply unacceptable to lose. The Nerazzurri have scored the most goals of any Serie A side during the first half-hour (13), while Cremonese have conceded the most (also 13), so the contest could be all but over early on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 0-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
CremoneseDrawInter Milan
18.78% (0.359 0.36) 20.67% (0.342 0.34) 60.55% (-0.699 -0.7)
Both teams to score 57.43% (-0.536 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.86% (-1.023 -1.02)39.14% (1.024 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (-1.081 -1.08)61.47% (1.081 1.08)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (-0.227 -0.23)34.34% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.95% (-0.245 -0.25)71.04% (0.246 0.25)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (-0.51100000000001 -0.51)12.54% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (-1.074 -1.07)38.57% (1.075 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 18.78%
    Inter Milan 60.55%
    Draw 20.67%
CremoneseDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 5.11% (0.082 0.08)
1-0 @ 4.6% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 2.46% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 18.78%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.204 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.67%
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.28% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.252 0.25)
1-3 @ 6.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 6.42% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.57% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-4 @ 3.34% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.48% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.39% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 60.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Cremonese
Monday, January 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Cremonese (4-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cremonese 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Cremonese
Monday, January 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 2-0 Cremonese
Friday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Empoli
Monday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Parma
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Napoli
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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