SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Mainz 05 |
49.29% ( -0.43) | 23.79% ( -0.02) | 26.92% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( 0.45) | 44% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( 0.43) | 66.38% ( -0.44) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( 0) | 17.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( 0.01) | 48.79% ( -0.01) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% ( 0.58) | 29.86% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% ( 0.69) | 65.95% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.62% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.92% |
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