Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.