Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
