SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 21.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Den Bosch |
57.42% ( -0.07) | 20.71% ( 0.01) | 21.87% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.56% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.23% ( 0.03) | 34.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.27% ( 0.03) | 56.73% ( -0.03) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.95% ( -0.01) | 12.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.47% ( -0.02) | 37.53% ( 0.02) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( 0.06) | 28.87% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( 0.08) | 64.74% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.95% 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 21.87% |
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