SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | NAC Breda |
44.62% ( -0.23) | 23.79% ( 0.05) | 31.59% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.71% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.15) | 41.22% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% ( -0.16) | 63.62% ( 0.16) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( -0.16) | 18.74% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.87% ( -0.26) | 50.12% ( 0.27) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( 0.03) | 25.29% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.95% ( 0.05) | 60.05% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.59% |
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